We assess the clubs in danger, their remaining fixtures, and what might seal their fate heading into the final round of games…
As it stands…
Brighton (38 points; Goal difference -16)
Remaining fixture: Burnley (a)
Brighton are staying up.
While the 0-0 draw with Newcastle on Monday will not live long in the memory, the point it secured has given Brighton the precious guarantee that they will be a Premier League club again next season.
The critical result was the 2-1 win over Arsenal immediately after the restart followed by a gritty draw at Leicester. Even though Brighton have largely found it tough going since then, losing to Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City, a win at Norwich and another draw with Southampton had already all-but secured their Premier League status even before the Newcastle stalemate made it official.
Brighton boss Graham Potter said: “There were a few nerves around, but l am so proud of how the players have responded. We have got the job done and we’re very proud to be in the Premier League next year.”
West Ham (37 points; Goal difference -13)
Remaining fixtures: Manchester United (a), Aston Villa (h)
The Hammers are almost there.
West Ham are not yet mathematically safe with 37 points on the board, but, in all likelihood, are set to stay in the Premier League: three points clear of danger, with a game in hand on the teams below them and a far superior goal difference too.
Credit where it is due, West Ham have claimed three important wins since the restart to make themselves all-but safe: against Chelsea, Norwich and, in last Friday’s ‘relegation cup final’, Watford.
A crucial factor in their likely escape has been their form against the rest of the current bottom six – W5 D4 – in matches this season.
Aston Villa (34 points; Goal difference – 26)
Remaining fixture: West Ham (a)
Aston Villa’s 1-0 win over Arsenal on Tuesday night could prove priceless. After Watford’s 4-0 loss to Manchester City earlier in the evening, the victory moves them out of the relegation zone, above the Hornets on goal difference, and puts them in control of their own destiny ahead of their…